Lekki Phase 1 JV β€” Deal Model

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Verdict: β€”
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Base-case scenario Β· β€” units Β· β€” livable floors Β· β€” sharing
Build cost ~β€” Β· Sale rate ~β€”
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Total Units
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GDV (Base)
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Gross development value
Total Cost (Base)
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Developer outlay
Net Profit (Base)
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Cost discipline scenario
ROI (Base)
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24-mo cycle
Best Scenario ROI
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Quick Scenario Summary

ConservativeBaseAggressive
Build cost ₦/sqm GFA
Sale rate ₦/sqm (blended)
GDV
Total revenue (dev share + alloc)
Total cost
Net profit
ROI
Verdict

Deal Terms β€” Yellow cells editable

Lagos area preset: β€” none β€”
Land & Sharing
Land sizesqm
Land value per sqmNGN/sqm
Total land valueβ€”NGN
Sharing β€” Developer %% of GDV
Sharing β€” Landowner %β€”%
Cash terms
Premium (non-refundable)NGN
Agency / facilitator fee (FLAT)NGN
Allocation fee per unit (paid by buyer)NGN/unit (dev keeps 100%)
Project timing
Project cycle (months)months (build + sell-out)

Building Envelope & Floors

Plot
Plot sizesqm (from Deal Terms)
Buildable footprint %% (after setbacks)
Footprint per floorβ€”sqm gross
Floor count
Liveable (residential) floorsfloors
Parking floorsfloors
Total floorsβ€”floors
Floor areas
Residential GFA (gross)β€”sqm
Total sellable areaβ€”sqm (sum of unit areas Γ— floors)
Sellable area per floorβ€”sqm (from mix)
Common area per floorβ€”sqm (footprint βˆ’ unit area)
Implied efficiencyβ€”% of GFA that is sellable

Unit Mix β€” 1/2/3/4 Bedroom Configuration

Unit type Size (sqm) Sale rate (₦/sqm) Units / floor Total units Sale price (unit) Total revenue
1-bedroom (compact)
2-bedroom
3-bedroom
4-bedroom (penthouse)
TOTALS β€” β€” β€”

Floor space check

Gross footprint per floor sqm (after setbacks)
Unit area used per floor β€” sqm (sum count Γ— size)
Common area left per floor β€” sqm (footprint βˆ’ unit area)
Avg blended sale rate β€” NGN/sqm
Avg unit size (blended) β€” sqm

Pricing benchmarks (Lekki Phase 1, 2026): 1-bed compact ₦2.5-3.5M/sqm Β· 2-bed ₦2.0-2.7M/sqm Β· 3-bed ₦1.7-2.3M/sqm Β· 4-bed/penthouse ₦1.5-2.2M/sqm. Smaller units command higher PSM (lower total ticket = wider buyer pool).

Construction Cost β€” Elemental Breakdown (₦/sqm GFA)

Cost source: System defaults Β· captured β€”

Defaults shown β€” every yellow cell is editable. Changes flow live to all other tabs. Click Reset to defaults to restore the QS-benchmarked values.

Element Conservative ₦/sqm Base ₦/sqm Aggressive ₦/sqm Notes
TOTAL ₦/sqm GFA (sum of elements) β€” β€” β€” HVAC removed β€” owners install own split A/C

Inflation context: 2023 Lagos luxury BoQ rates were ₦400-650k/sqm. Compounded for FX/material inflation 2024-2026 (~50-70% cumulative) lands current rates at ₦750k-₦1.1M/sqm. Validate against 2 fresh BoQs from independent QSs (PYTI, Olufemi Adesoye, KPI Consult) before locking developer commitment.

Developer Cost Build-up

Cost Item Conservative Base Aggressive
Parking floor cost / sqm
Parking construction
Residential cost / sqm GFA (from elements)
Residential construction
Total construction
Soft costs %
Soft costs amount
Premium
Agency fee
Marketing %
Marketing (% of dev revenue)
Financing %
Financing amount
Contingency %
Contingency amount
TOTAL DEVELOPER INVESTMENT

Revenue & Returns

Conservative Base Aggressive
Cost scenario sale-rate adjuster
Blended sale rate ₦/sqm (NSA)
Total units
GROSS DEVELOPMENT VALUE
Sharing formula (dev %)
Developer sale-share revenue
Allocation fee revenue (dev 100%)
TOTAL DEVELOPER REVENUE
Total developer cost
DEVELOPER NET PROFIT
Net margin
Return on investment (ROI)
Annualised IRR
VERDICT

Cash flow waterfall β€” base case

Monthly construction outflows (S-curve) and off-plan sales inflows over the project cycle. Cumulative net is the running developer cash position.

Decision Matrix β€” ROI by Sharing % Γ— Build Cost

ROI heatmap: -50%+
+50%+ Highlighted row = current sharing %
Developer Share Net Profit (₦M) ROI %
Cons. costBase costAggr. cost Cons. costBase costAggr. cost

Sensitivity β€” what moves ROI most

Bars show ROI swing if each variable moves Β±15% from current value, all else held constant. Longer bar = bigger lever.

Negotiation Targets

Floor (must hit or walk)55/45 dev-favour + fixed-price contractor at conservative rate + ₦100M fee paid 30/70 (post-approval tranche)
Target60/40 + ₦50M premium credited against landowner's unit allocation + lock contractor
Stretch65/35 + premium fully credited + agency fee paid from sales proceeds (after first 10 sales close)
Conditions precedentMaster Plan approval (G+6) on file, title clean at LSLR, 2 BoQs from independent QSs, comp sales validated β‰₯ ₦1.5M/sqm

Risk, Walk-Away Triggers & What To Renegotiate

Risk scorecard β€” click each item to set status

Verified = green Β· Flagged = amber Β· Open issue = red. Per-deal state is saved with the version.

What to renegotiate (priority order)

1. Sharing60/40 minimum, target 65/35. Justification: developer carries 100% construction risk + ₦150M cash up-front.
2. Premium ₦50MCredited against landowner's eventual unit allocation, not forfeited.
3. Agency fee ₦100MPaid in 2 tranches: ₦30M at MOU, ₦70M post Master Plan approval. No approval, no second tranche.
4. Floor allocationDeveloper takes ground/lower floors (faster sale); landowner gets higher floors (premium PSM but slower).
5. Penalty clausesTitle defects, planning rejection, or undisclosed encumbrances void the deal AND refund the premium.

Walk away if

Master Plan approval for G+6 not on file (Lekki Phase 1 standard zoning is 4 floors).
Title cannot be confirmed at Lagos State Land Registry β€” get the search receipt yourself.
Comp sales on the same street show < ₦1.5M/sqm.
Landowner refuses condition-precedent on the agency fee or premium.
Any party demands the agency fee BEFORE the joint venture deed is signed.
Site visit reveals actual usable footprint < 50% (sloping, narrow, encumbered).

Benchmark β€” compare to similar deals

Phase 3 preview Β· seed data based on industry research, replaced with anonymised user contributions at scale.

Your deal vs comparable deals

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Quarterly market intelligence

Auto-generated report covering trends from the benchmark database. Median sharing, build cost trend, area-specific yields, deal volume.

Recent comparable deals (anonymised)

Deal #AreaPlot (sqm)SharingBuild cost ₦/sqmROIVerdict

Buyer-side mode

If you're an off-plan buyer evaluating a developer's pricing, switch context here. Same engine, simplified flow.

Vendor directory

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Compliance β€” title search & planning approvals

Phase 3 preview Β· UI complete; routing to live LSLR and LSPP services activates at launch.

Title search request

Submit a Lagos State Land Registry search. ₦15,000-₦25,000 fee, results in 3-5 business days.

Planning approval database

Recent LSPP approvals near your plot. Useful to verify what floor count is realistically achievable.

DateAreaAddressApproved useFloors